Wednesday, November 09, 2011

Fannie Mae taps another few billion.

Fannie Mae taps $7.8 billion from Treasury, loss widens

I can't even get a grip on all the things wrong with this scenario.

1. What were they doing holding derivatives?
2. What were they doing paying dividends during a loss?
3. Why are they still taking losses from 3 years ago?
4. Why are we paying for it?

Monday, November 07, 2011

The real 99%, and why it doesn't matter...

As a result of the occupy movement, more attention has been given to the growing wealth divide in the United States. For instance, the New York Times recently published an infographic (Where the 1 Percent Fit in the Hierarchy of Income) of wealth distribution. However, there is a growing backlash against the "99%" label. For instance CNN published "The 53%: We are NOT Occupy Wall Street" which references "the 53% of Americans who pay federal income taxes." However, even if 100% of the "53%" was in the "99%" it wouldn't matter. The conversation has been framed in a way that presents the ideological differences as too great to reconcile, despite the similar ideologies.

By labeling individuals as 99% or 1% (which for reference is $386K+ per year in income), the perception is that the 99% movement believes income should be more evenly distributed. Even as a lowly student, that idea scares me. The idea that 50% of the population should have 50% of the wealth, parallels with socialism. This idea also doesn't correspond well with the "American dream" - work hard, and reap the rewards. However, the dissonance provides little relief to the growing numbers of jobless, or impoverished. They may say that capitalism hasn't worked. Well, no. Not when you privatize the profits, and socialize the losses. For that, I cannot blame capitalism, but government, their allowance of capitalism in government.

In fact the 1% should have the right to be in the 1%, regardless of whether they worked hard, or simply stumbled into money. Yet when such powerful interests are involved in a capitalist society, those born without means must be represented by government. Otherwise we may not even have obvious regulation, like child labor laws. Yes, the rich should have the right to be rich. However, the wealthy live in a society that affords them such opportunities and provides them with infrastructure to conduct commerce, police to protect it and them, the FDIC to insure their profits, ect, ect. If the wealthy choose to utilize these resources by living in the United States, they have an obligation to society to ensure those opportunities are afforded to all. Not welfare, or handouts. Simply, education, healthcare and the right to work. If not for humanitarian reasons, capitalistic. A populace that is uneducated, sick, or drawing unemployment benefits, is of no use to a capitalist.

In summary, the anger at the 1% is naive and misguided. Occupy Wall Street should have occupied Pennsylvania Street. The real issue is the government allowance of capitalist involvement in government. Everyone knows corporations have no morals. So can we blame them for taking what they could from we the people? No. Government should have stopped them though - by letting them fail. Nevertheless, the great irony is the bickering comparisons of "occupy" and "the tea party" - despite their common enemies, and goals.

Divide et impera!

Friday, September 02, 2011

Movies and Truffles

With just enough time before my econometrics final to buy chocolate truffles, and write a blog post, here we go...

I ended my another fantasy stock pick today. Blockbuster. I went short against them in 7/2008. Since then, they've collapsed 97% to only 3% of their former self. I'm not sure how I would have made out in real life, as I would have had to pay margins...

On a side note, I realized they're putting rental boxes in store now. 'Bout time, Guys.

Thursday, August 25, 2011

Three Years of Sun

Today I ended some solar stock picks in a "fantasy" style account. I had been monitoring solar companies for about 3 years following a conversation with a neighbor. With a weak economy, demand simply was not there. The "best loss" was 61%. To get back to former levels, these stocks would need to quintuple... Sure.


Monday, August 22, 2011

Turning Tide

I haven't been writing about economics lately, and wanted to share a couple things while I had a minute.

1. Everyone is talking about a double dip recession again. I'm not sure what to call it, but I'm wondering when the first dip ended. Looking at unemployment and stock market charts, I can't find it...

2. The fundamentals still suck. The U.S. Is now trying to shift away from the service economy we so proudly built. Every worker wants to know "Where are the jobs." Every employer wants to know "Where are the skills" 'cause folding towels isn't one (actually it is, robots have a difficult time with it).

3. I've been in love with gold (for my money, not my body) for a few years. My meager little IRA has done well by it. However, now EVERYONE is talking about gold. What?!? Did you miss all the "WE BUY GOLD" signs and commercials? The price of gold looks like it's going parabolic (read: STRAIGHT UP!). I'm officially scared. The trouble is, a parabola still looks like a parabola from the top, or the bottom.

Keep Calm, and Carry On

Sunday, June 19, 2011

Arrived in Westmorland. I've done two days miles in less than 24 hours. I found a park, next to a fire station, to rest up, charge my gadgets and beat the heat.

Saturday, June 18, 2011

I so want to camp here...